The XRP price has recently encountered resistance near the $2.75 mark, pulling back slightly to find support around $2.40. Despite this short-term consolidation, the momentum behind XRP remains strong—fueled by a staggering 440% rally over four consecutive weeks and a 90% weekly surge that captured widespread market attention. As investor interest intensifies, the central question on everyone’s mind is: How long can this rally sustain?
This recent price action marks one of the most significant XRP rallies in nearly eight years. Analysts are closely watching key technical patterns and on-chain behaviors to forecast the next leg of movement. With growing optimism, many believe the bullish momentum is far from over.
Technical Outlook: A Bullish Structure in Motion
Prominent market analyst Income Sharks highlighted that the current bullish run has lasted four weeks and two days—an impressive duration in crypto markets. Historically, extended rallies often correct after four weeks, but there’s rising confidence that XRP could push into a fifth consecutive week of gains.
“Maybe this time we can make it to 5 weeks before the red candle comes,” noted Income Sharks, pointing to sustained buying pressure and strong market sentiment.
Meanwhile, crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto presents an even more optimistic projection. He believes XRP is progressing through a well-defined bullish wave structure and is now entering the third subwave of a larger upward impulse. According to Elliott Wave theory, such patterns often unfold in five waves, with the third typically being the strongest and most extended.
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“The second subwave was short and sweet, while the first subwave of the larger third subwave looks complete,” CrediBULL explained. He anticipates two more upward phases within this third subwave, potentially propelling XRP beyond its all-time high.
CrediBULL forecasts a 100% upside from current levels, targeting a price of $4.21. He dismisses concerns that XRP has reached its peak, stating:
“In my opinion, we’re just getting warmed up. The ascent is going to be pure mania.”
This sentiment aligns with historical patterns where major altcoins experience explosive growth during the mid-phase of a bull run—especially when institutional and retail interest converge.
Whale Accumulation Signals Strong Confidence
One of the most compelling indicators of XRP’s sustained rally is the surge in whale activity. Over a single weekend, XRP whales—wallets holding between 1 million and 10 million XRP—accumulated a massive 160 million XRP, valued at approximately $380 million.
Over the past three weeks, these large holders have collectively added 679.1 million XRP (worth ~$1.66 billion) to their positions. This kind of coordinated accumulation often precedes major price breakouts, as whales typically buy in anticipation of future upside.
Furthermore, on-chain analytics platform Santiment reported that the total number of non-empty XRP wallets has now surpassed 5.5 million—a record high in the asset’s eight-year history. This expanding user base reflects growing adoption and long-term confidence in the Ripple ecosystem.
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Debunking the “Ripple Dump” Narrative
A recurring concern among retail investors is Ripple’s monthly escrow unlock of 1 billion XRP. Critics often claim this leads to market flooding and downward pressure. However, recent data reveals a different story.
Three days after unlocking 1 billion XRP from escrow, Ripple immediately re-locked 770 million XRP for another five years. This means only a fraction—around 230 million tokens—remained available for potential distribution.
CrediBULL Crypto strongly refuted the bearish narrative:
“The ‘Ripple unlocks 1B tokens every month to dump on you’ narrative has been repeatedly debunked so many times now that anyone still pushing that narrative at this point has to be doing it for engagement or is simply being willfully ignorant.”
With Ripple retaining strategic control over supply and demonstrating responsible token management, fears of excessive selling appear overstated.
Current Market Metrics: Bullish Indicators in Place
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.73**, reflecting a **12.67% gain** and a market capitalization of **$155 billion. Daily trading volume has surged by 54% to $4 billion, signaling robust market participation.
According to Coinglass data, open interest in XRP futures has increased by 4% to $4.35 billion, indicating rising leverage and bullish positioning among traders. Elevated open interest during price uptrends often suggests confidence in continued momentum.
These metrics collectively paint a picture of a healthy, demand-driven rally—not a speculative bubble ready to burst.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Is XRP in a sustainable bull run?
Yes, multiple factors support sustainability: strong whale accumulation, rising wallet adoption, technical progression through bullish wave structures, and controlled supply dynamics from Ripple’s escrow management.
What is the next price target for XRP?
Analysts project a potential 100% gain from current levels, with targets reaching $4.21 as part of the third subwave in the ongoing bullish pattern.
Why aren’t Ripple’s monthly unlocks crashing the price?
Because most unlocked tokens are re-locked—only about 23% of the monthly unlock remains potentially available. This disciplined approach minimizes selling pressure.
How does whale activity influence XRP’s price?
Large-scale purchases by whales signal strong conviction and often precede major price movements. Their accumulation of nearly $400 million worth of XRP recently underscores confidence in future gains.
Can XRP surpass its all-time high?
Yes—technical analysis suggests we’re still in the early stages of a broader rally. With momentum building and structural patterns intact, surpassing the previous ATH appears increasingly likely.
What should investors watch for next?
Key indicators include sustained trading above $2.60, further whale accumulation, continued growth in active wallets, and progression into the next phase of the bullish wave structure.
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Final Thoughts
The current XRP rally is not just another short-lived spike—it's backed by technical strength, strategic accumulation, and fundamental improvements in network activity. While short-term corrections are normal after rapid gains, the broader trajectory remains firmly bullish.
With analysts eyeing $4.21 and whale activity signaling long-term conviction, XRP appears poised for further upside. As market sentiment strengthens and technical patterns evolve, this rally may indeed extend into a fifth week—and beyond.
For investors, staying informed and monitoring key on-chain metrics will be crucial in navigating the next phase of this historic move.
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