The cryptocurrency market is no stranger to volatility, but few assets have captured investor attention quite like XRP—especially in light of recent legal clarity and renewed technical momentum. As the digital asset consolidates after years of regulatory uncertainty, analysts are turning their focus to its long-term price potential. Among them, crypto trading expert Alan Santana has emerged with a compelling forecast: XRP could reach a new all-time high during the next bull market cycle, potentially surpassing $5.
This outlook comes amid growing optimism following key developments in Ripple’s legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). With the prolonged court case now largely resolved, market sentiment around XRP has shifted from skepticism to cautious optimism—setting the stage for what many believe could be a major breakout.
👉 Discover how market cycles could trigger XRP’s next big move
The Road to Recovery: Accumulation Since 2022
Alan Santana’s analysis begins with a simple yet powerful observation: XRP has been in a consolidation phase since June 2022. Unlike assets that continued to make lower lows during market downturns, XRP held its ground, forming a strong base without breaking below key support levels.
This behavior, Santana notes, mirrors historical patterns seen in other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH), which also bottomed around the same time. Both ETH and XRP peaked during the 2021 bull run and found stability in mid-2022—well before Bitcoin (BTC) hit its final bottom later that year. This early stabilization suggests underlying strength and investor confidence in these assets.
According to Santana, the period from June 2022 to the present represents a classic accumulation phase—a time when smart money quietly builds positions before a broader market rally. For XRP, this extended consolidation increases the likelihood of a powerful upward move once the next bull market gains momentum.
Market Cycle Theory and XRP’s Position
Santana applies a cyclical framework to understand where XRP stands within the broader crypto market timeline. His model suggests that 2024 will primarily be an accumulation year, while 2025 sets the stage for a full-blown bull market. This aligns with Bitcoin’s halving cycle, historically a precursor to major price rallies across the ecosystem.
What makes this cycle particularly interesting is its implications for altcoins. Santana observes that top-performing altcoins in one cycle often underperform in the next, while dormant or overlooked projects can surge unexpectedly. Given XRP’s relatively subdued performance in recent years despite strong fundamentals, it may be poised for a breakout precisely because it hasn’t led the pack yet.
“This unpredictability,” Santana explains, “could work in XRP’s favor.” The market tends to rotate into undervalued assets during bull runs, and XRP’s combination of real-world utility, institutional interest, and improved regulatory standing makes it an attractive candidate.
Technical Outlook: Fibonacci Targets Point to $5+
To project potential price targets, Santana employs Fibonacci retracement levels—a widely used tool in technical analysis that identifies key support and resistance zones based on prior price movements.
Using historical highs and lows, he identifies $1.32 as an initial upside target—a level representing a modest but significant breakout from current trading ranges. However, more aggressive Fibonacci extensions point much higher.
Specifically:
- The 78.6% extension aligns with $4.60
- The 100% extension suggests a target of $5.13
“The Fibs point toward $4.6, which is around 700% from the current price. My own calculations give $5.13 as a new All-Time High. I don’t know why, but I feel that this can be easily broken in the upcoming bull market,” Santana noted.
These figures represent a sevenfold increase from XRP’s current price of approximately $0.59. While ambitious, such gains are not unprecedented in crypto bull markets—especially for assets with strong narratives and improving fundamentals.
Key Levels to Watch
Beyond long-term targets, traders should monitor several critical price levels in the near term:
Upside Resistance Zones:
- $0.60 – Immediate psychological barrier
- $0.9327 – Intermediate resistance (identified by analyst Dark Defender)
- $1.32 – First major breakout target
Downside Support Levels:
- $0.6649 – Short-term support
- $0.43 – Recent weekly low
- $0.3917 – Strong historical support; a break below could signal renewed weakness
As of now, XRP trades at $0.59, up nearly 1% over 24 hours and over 3% weekly despite touching a low of $0.43 earlier in the week. This resilience reinforces the idea that selling pressure is waning and demand is gradually increasing.
👉 See how Fibonacci levels are shaping XRP’s future price path
Regulatory Clarity Fuels Optimism
One of the most significant catalysts for XRP’s resurgence has been the resolution of its long-running legal battle with the SEC. After years of uncertainty over whether XRP should be classified as a security, a federal judge ruled that Ripple’s sale of XRP to retail investors did not constitute an unregistered securities offering.
While Ripple was ordered to pay a $125 million civil penalty, the decision provided crucial clarity: XRP itself is not a security under U.S. law when sold in certain contexts. This distinction has allowed exchanges to relist the token and institutions to reconsider their exposure.
Market participants now view XRP not just as a speculative asset, but as a functional digital currency with real-world use cases in cross-border payments—a core function of Ripple’s blockchain infrastructure.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Is XRP likely to reach $5?
A: While no price prediction is guaranteed, technical models like Fibonacci retracements suggest $4.60–$5.13 is possible during the next bull market if macro conditions remain favorable and adoption grows.
Q: What triggers the next bull market for XRP?
A: The broader crypto bull cycle—often initiated by Bitcoin’s post-halving rally—typically lifts altcoins like XRP. Additional drivers include increased institutional adoption, product developments by Ripple, and positive regulatory rulings.
Q: Can XRP outperform other altcoins?
A: Historically, overlooked or delayed altcoins experience outsized gains during bull runs. Given its strong fundamentals and prior underperformance, XRP is well-positioned to outpace many peers.
Q: What happens if XRP breaks below $0.40?
A: A sustained drop below $0.3917 could indicate weakening demand and delay recovery timelines. However, current price action suggests strong support around this zone.
Q: How does market sentiment affect XRP?
A: Like all cryptocurrencies, XRP is influenced by overall market trends. Positive news around regulation or adoption can amplify bullish momentum, while macroeconomic concerns may trigger short-term pullbacks.
👉 Explore upcoming catalysts that could push XRP past $5
Final Thoughts
XRP stands at a pivotal moment. Years of legal ambiguity have given way to clearer regulatory footing, and technical indicators suggest the asset is preparing for a major move. With expert analysis pointing to a potential new all-time high between $4.60 and $5.13 during the 2025–2026 bull market, investor interest is heating up.
While short-term fluctuations will continue, the long-term trajectory appears increasingly bullish—driven by accumulation patterns, favorable market cycles, and growing confidence in XRP’s utility beyond speculation.
As always, investors should conduct their own research and consider risk tolerance before entering any position. But for those watching the space closely, XRP’s journey from consolidation to breakout may be one of the most compelling stories of the next crypto upcycle.
Keywords: XRP price prediction, bull market 2025, Fibonacci retracement, crypto technical analysis, Ripple SEC case, altcoin breakout, XRP all-time high