The Shiba Inu (SHIB) market is facing a grim reality as a growing number of investors find themselves in the red. Recent price declines have pushed 65% of SHIB holders into loss territory, highlighting a troubling pattern that has plagued the meme coin for years—especially during the month of June. With historical data pointing to recurring downturns and investor sentiment wavering, the current market conditions are testing the resilience of even the most dedicated holders.
This article explores the deepening bearish trend affecting Shiba Inu, analyzes on-chain data revealing the extent of investor losses, and evaluates whether a rebound could be on the horizon despite the odds.
Why June Is Historically Bad for Shiba Inu
June has earned a notorious reputation among Shiba Inu investors—and for good reason. Over the past five years, June has never closed with a positive price performance for SHIB. This consistent downward trend has led analysts to dub it the "curse of June" for the meme coin.
According to CryptoRank analytics, Shiba Inu has averaged a -13.8% return in June, with a median loss of -11.5%. These figures aren’t just statistical anomalies—they represent real financial pain for hundreds of thousands of investors who may have timed their entries poorly.
In 2024 alone, SHIB plummeted 32.3% during June, contributing to a devastating 44.3% quarterly loss by the end of Q2. This makes Q2 the worst-performing quarter in SHIB’s history, with four out of the last five years ending in significant declines. Given this track record, many traders remain cautious as the final days of June 2025 unfold.
While crypto markets are inherently volatile, such consistent seasonal patterns suggest more than mere coincidence. Market psychology, profit-taking after Q1 rallies, and broader macroeconomic factors may all contribute to this annual slump.
Majority of SHIB Investors Now in Loss Territory
On-chain data from IntoTheBlock paints a sobering picture of current investor sentiment. As of the latest metrics:
- 65% of SHIB wallets are currently underwater
- Only 32% are in profit
- A mere 3% are at breakeven
This means that for every three investors seeing gains, nearly seven are sitting on losses. The shift in investor positioning reflects both the recent price drop and the lingering effects of earlier buying surges—particularly those driven by hype during bull market peaks.
The current SHIB price sits well below many holders’ average entry points, especially those who bought during or after the late 2024 rally. With limited catalysts on the horizon and Bitcoin showing signs of consolidation, risk-off behavior is spreading across the altcoin ecosystem.
Despite these challenges, some analysts believe a short-term recovery could be possible. CoinCodex’s technical models project an 8.8% price increase over the next five days, potentially pushing SHIB toward $0.00001278. While modest, such a move could provide temporary relief to struggling portfolios.
Can Shiba Inu Break Its June Curse?
Looking further ahead, longer-term forecasts offer a slightly more optimistic outlook. CoinCodex predicts that within one month, Shiba Inu could reach $0.00001496—a 27.35% gain from current levels. If realized, this would mark a strong reversal from June’s typical performance and signal renewed buying interest.
However, breaking a five-year trend won’t be easy. For SHIB to sustain upward momentum, it would need:
- Increased on-chain activity
- Positive developments in its ecosystem (e.g., Shibarium adoption)
- Broader market recovery in altcoins
- Reduced selling pressure from long-term holders
Without clear catalysts, many traders remain skeptical. The absence of major upgrades or viral narratives has left SHIB vulnerable to broader market headwinds.
👉 Explore how on-chain data can help you anticipate price movements before they happen.
Still, meme coins thrive on unpredictability. A single social media spark or unexpected exchange listing could reignite speculative demand—just as it has done in previous cycles.
Key Factors Influencing SHIB’s Future
Several core elements will shape Shiba Inu’s trajectory in the coming weeks:
1. Market Sentiment and Speculation
Meme coins like SHIB are heavily driven by sentiment. News cycles, celebrity mentions, and community enthusiasm can trigger rapid price swings—even without fundamental changes.
2. Ecosystem Development
The success of Shibarium, Shiba Inu’s Layer-2 blockchain, remains critical. Increased transaction volume, dApp integrations, and staking adoption could provide long-term value beyond speculation.
3. Burn Rate and Supply Dynamics
Shiba Inu’s deflationary mechanism relies on continuous token burns. A surge in burn activity—as seen earlier in 2024—can reduce circulating supply and create upward price pressure if demand holds steady.
4. Bitcoin and Macro Trends
As with most altcoins, SHIB’s fate is tied to Bitcoin’s performance. A stable or rising BTC price often lifts smaller cryptocurrencies, while BTC corrections typically amplify losses in high-beta assets like meme coins.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Why is June bad for Shiba Inu?
A: Historically, June has never produced a positive monthly close for SHIB over its five-year history. Average returns are negative (-13.8%), likely due to seasonal profit-taking and weak market momentum.
Q: What percentage of SHIB holders are currently losing money?
A: As per IntoTheBlock data, approximately 65% of SHIB investors are currently in loss territory, while only 32% are profitable.
Q: Is there any hope for a SHIB price rebound?
A: Yes—short-term forecasts suggest an 8.8% gain in five days and up to 27.35% in one month. However, sustained recovery depends on market conditions and ecosystem growth.
Q: How does Shiba Inu’s burn mechanism work?
A: SHIB uses a deflationary model where tokens are permanently removed from circulation through burns. Higher burn rates can reduce supply and potentially increase scarcity-driven value.
Q: Should I buy SHIB during this dip?
A: That depends on your risk tolerance and investment goals. While dips offer lower entry points, meme coins remain highly speculative and volatile.
Q: What tools can help track SHIB investor behavior?
A: Platforms like IntoTheBlock and CryptoRank provide real-time on-chain analytics, including wallet profitability, holder distribution, and historical return patterns.
While the “curse of June” continues to haunt Shiba Inu investors, history doesn’t always repeat itself verbatim. Market cycles evolve, narratives shift, and new opportunities emerge—even in bearish environments. For now, patience and informed decision-making may be the best strategy for those holding through the downturn.
As always, investors should conduct thorough research, monitor key indicators, and avoid emotional trading decisions based on short-term volatility. With careful analysis and disciplined risk management, navigating turbulent periods becomes not only possible but potentially rewarding in the long run.